Saturday, 14 July 2012

The Truth About Blackjack

There are a lot of myths concerning casinos, casino staff and in particular the game of blackjack. Having dealt the game for five years as well as being a pit boss in Australia and the Unites States I think I'm in a unique position to open up the mysticism. I also went on to study the game of blackjack for a further ten years.

You may wonder how one could spend so much time studying the simple game of blackjack, on the contrary the game is anything but simple when you are testing and simulating every conceivable method and outcome. I did this because I wanted to find out two things: one... is there any betting system that can beat the game, and two... does card counting work and is it worth doing. I have worked with a mathematician on this subject and have simulated more hands than probably anyone else alive.

The short answer for both questions is no and yes.

Q1. Is there any betting system that can beat the game... No!

Without going into the complete logistics of the game, we have found it impossible to beat any game that has a natural disadvantage with any betting system. Since time began man has been trying to devise the `perfect` system to do this but has had no success. The fact that casinos still exist and are flourishing is testament to this fact. If there was such a system it wouldn't remain a secret for long. How long do you think it would take for someone to spill such a secret after a few drinks or tell someone they care about who needs help. Don't get me wrong some of these systems are extremely tempting and seem like the Holy Grail but the truth is none of them work. The only people that make money from these so called `perfect systems` are the people selling them.

Q2. Does card counting work and is it worth doing... Yes!

There are three questions that need to be answered here:

1. Can I do it?

2. How much money do I need to start?

3. Does it make enough money to live on?

I have studied and tested every card counting method available. I tested them for two things, ease and accuracy. It's of no use to learn the most difficult card counting method if it`s too hard to do at the table. It is also of no use to learn the easiest card counting method if it doesn't make enough money. Millions of simulations were needed to be run on each individual method and each individual hand to compare one against the other. The only three factors that govern ease and accuracy are: the cards assigned value, the necessary changes to basic strategy (violations), and the precise betting spread that should be applied. I went on further to find out how much bankroll was needed to start and how much each betting spread made per hour. This is crucial information that was not available anywhere else. I have included a free independent simulator to prove and compare this to any other method.

http://www.countthecards.com/

The author has worked in Australia and the United States as a dealer and pit boss
He has also studied the game of Blackjack for a further ten years.


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